Lebanon
Israeli Report: Hezbollah Adjusts Strategy in War Against Israel
A report by the Alma Research Center reveals Hezbollah is rebuilding its military and adapting its strategy for a prolonged guerrilla war against Israel, focusing on small-scale infiltrations and drone attacks.
Alma Research Center revealed that Hezbollah continues to invest in its military recovery and is adapting its strategy in preparation for a long-term conflict with Israel based on guerrilla warfare.
According to the Israeli assessment, this includes small-scale infiltration operations into the security zone and possibly into Israeli territory, alongside drone strikes and explosive devices.
The center noted that despite the limited scope and potential for interception, these infiltration attempts may aim to identify Israeli vulnerabilities for future exploitation, especially given the possibility of elements hiding within the security zone, leveraging the extensive underground infrastructure and rugged terrain, posing a threat to Israeli soldiers through landmines and other attacks, as the army has encountered several Hezbollah operatives in the area over recent months.
The assessment highlighted that the group’s infrastructure—both underground and above ground, integrated within civilian areas—is often booby-trapped, making its destruction highly dangerous. Additionally, a shortage of skilled operators limits Hezbollah’s use of FPV drones, yet it has not prevented the group from making them a core component of its strategy, with intensified training of personnel in their use. Estimates suggest Hezbollah still possesses around 15,000 rockets and fewer than 40,000 active fighters, while retaining tens of thousands of reserve soldiers.
The report confirmed that efforts to reduce Iranian influence in Lebanon have failed to eliminate the presence of the Quds Force, which continues operating in Beirut and the Beqaa Valley. Iran persists in smuggling resources to Hezbollah via Syria, though it has had to become more creative in its attempts since the fall of the Assad regime. The center reported nearly weekly smuggling attempts, including a recent attempt last month to transport weapons in a fuel truck through the al-Tanf crossing.
Source: "Jerusalem Post"
