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Economy

Gold Hits 3-Month High Amid Treasury Bond Buyback Surge, Eyes $5,000

Gold surged to a three-month peak at $4,668.19 per ounce as U.S. Treasury bond buybacks intensified dollar concerns, with analysts citing $4,900–$5,000 as the next resistance zone.

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Gold Hits 3-Month High Amid Treasury Bond Buyback Surge, Eyes $5,000
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Gold climbed to its highest level in over three months, extending an upward trend fueled by the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s recent announcement of expanded bond repurchase operations. Investor attention has now shifted toward key U.S. inflation data and an upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—scheduled later this week.

Price Movement and Market Levels

The spot gold price rose 0.4 percent to $4,668.19 per troy ounce as of 01:46 GMT, having earlier touched its strongest level since May 14. U.S. gold futures advanced 0.6 percent to $4,724.50 per ounce.

Analyst Commentary on Momentum and Resistance

Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, stated that gold “continued its advance, with renewed trading activity linked to last week’s concerns over currency depreciation—a dynamic that underpinned the latest gains.”

He added: “We anticipate any pullbacks in gold will find strong buyer support in the near term, as the metal targets its next ascending resistance level between $4,900 and $5,000.”

Treasury’s Bond Buyback Expansion

Prices strengthened sharply last week after the U.S. Treasury disclosed plans to double the scale of its repurchase operations for longer-dated bonds and securities to enhance liquidity—a move that triggered concerns about potential U.S. dollar depreciation.

Dollar Weakness and Fed Signal Gap

TD Securities noted in a research note: “These concerns over U.S. dollar depreciation are likely to provide strong support for gold in the coming weeks, particularly given the absence of a clear signal from the Federal Reserve indicating readiness to counter rising inflation.”

Inflation Hedge vs. Rate Sensitivity

Although gold is widely regarded as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates may constrain demand for the metal by increasing the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech and Inflation Data

Chair Jerome Powell’s first scheduled address at this year’s annual Jackson Hole symposium carries heightened significance. Traders and analysts are seeking guidance on the recent rise in bond yields, as well as reassurances regarding Powell’s independence from the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—is due for release on Wednesday.

Geopolitical Context: Iranian Response to Sanctions

On the geopolitical front, Iran pledged retaliation against the expansion of U.S. economic sanctions, which Washington described as aimed at severing Tehran’s economic lifeline. Tehran expressed confidence that its principal trading partners would resist the U.S. pressure campaign.

Other Precious Metals Performance

Among other precious metals, spot silver gained 0.3 percent to $69.16 per ounce; platinum rose 0.4 percent to $1,883.93; and palladium increased 0.2 percent to $1,359.00.

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